INTRODUCTION
- Advanced Project Financing: Structuring Risk
Project
Finance is an attractive financing alternative where project sponsors can shed
risks to the bank or capital debt markets.
To the owner/parent, the non-recourse aspect is prized since it allows
that company or group to go on to develop other projects, to become a serial
developer.
A
knowledge of the risks and the structures to handle them are paramount in
getting the best deal for both sides. This
book provides a risk system which can be applied to any project in any industry
sector, indeed the financing of any venture.
It also outlines each structuring solution that would be acceptable to
the Project Financiers.
By
the time one traverses to the Glossary and Index at the end, some 214 Case
Examples will have been provided for the 172 structures and risk mitigants that
can be considered to address the 16 risks in the Project-Finance business.
Project
Finances Origins
Many
have looked for the earliest example of what is meant by Project Finance.
Early Greek merchants who
funded vessel-specific expeditions have been cited as among the first.
·
In 1554, the first known French Concession (a precursor to Build Own
Transfer - BOT) was granted for a French canal1. (See
Exhibit 1) The concessionaire
must self-finance without support from the public authority granting the
concession. One of the key
conditions was a non-discriminatory tariff and to keep up with new canal
technology!
·
In the 1800s railways came into vogue, usually funded via bonds or
share/stock offerings.
·
Modern Project Financing is
often thought to have originated with production payment financing in the Texas
oilfields in the 1930s. A
driller would fund the well-drilling costs in exchange for a share in future oil
proceeds. In West Texas, it was
hard to miss striking oil every time!
At that time, a Dallas bank granted a non-recourse loan to develop an oil
& gas property to be repaid from the cashflows from those wells.
·
Resources transactions, especially mining and oil & gas, led the way
in the 1960s mainly driven by US banks.
Their techniques were imported into Europe in the late 1970s for
a string of large Project Financings for North Sea offshore oil.2
·
The risk-shedding character of Project Finance has now been adapted to
portfolio financings, privatisations, and mergers and acquisitions
(M&A) across a wide range of industry sectors.
Project
Finance Defined
The
basic definition for a Project Financing is:3
A
funding structure that relies on future cashflow from a specific development as
the primary source of repayment with that developments assets, rights, and
interests legally held as collateral security.
This
is in contrast with conventional corporate lending where the lenders look to the
balance sheet and total business and financial resources of a borrower as the
source of repayment.
A
better definition for a new project/development is as follows:
Project
Financing is an option granted by the financier exercisable when an entity
demonstrates that it can generate cashflows in accordance with long-term
cashflow forecasts. Upon exercise
of the option, the balance sheet of the entitys parent(s) or sponsor
company(s) balance sheet is no longer available for debt service.
The assets, rights, and interests of the development are usually
structured into a special-purpose project vehicle (SPV) and are legally
secured to the financiers as collateral.
Prior
to satisfying the options conditions, it is the usual practice for the
financiers
(a)
to fund the SPV even though cashflows have not yet commenced;
(b)
to be able to rely on other financial or contractual resources to repay
that funding [if the project fails to be completed]; and
(c)
to roll up the capitalised interest-during-construction (IDC) into
the financing.
The
conversion to the Project-Finance status occurs following satisfaction of a
Completion Test designed to demonstrate the cashflow-generation performance of
the project.
If
the project entity is already generating sufficient cashflows such as in a privatisation
or acquisition then this pre-option architecture is redundant. The principle remains the same -- immediate reliance on the
enterprises cashflows as the primary repayment source, holding the project as
[legal] collateral.
Although
there are many similar definitions, the exceptions are noteworthy:
1)
Project Finance is not simply the raising of finance for a project.
»
It
is a term of trade or a defined term.
2)
A Project Financier does not
expect the debt to be repaid from the project assets or collateral.
»
It is not asset-based
financial engineering, such as real estate/property, where a future refinancing
is specifically structured as an exit for the investor and is the intended means
of repayment of the debt.
Further
discussion on the conflicting definitions of Project Finance is given in
Appendix 2 of the Book.
Project
Finance Structuring
As
will be evident later (in the Book), Project Finance is a highly structural tool
since, after the option exercise, the lenders/bond investors wish to have strong
control over the continuing operations (cashflow generation) backed up by full
entitlement to that enterprise (legal collateral over all of the projects
assets, rights, and interests) in the event of a default.
The usual organization is a spider diagram showing a web of
contracts, ownership, and advisory relationships as shown in Exhibit 2.
Off
Balance Sheet
Off-balance-sheet
finance was a common objective of early Project Financings where deferred income
(as in a production payment) or lease obligations were not recorded on the
balance sheet as senior debt. International
accounting standards have now moved just about every obligation and indebtedness
onto the balance sheet, if not formally requiring a statement in the notes to
the companys accounts. Not every
country has yet moved to adopt these standards.
The expectation though is that they will (have to) over the next few
years.
So
what can be done to get the deal off-balance-sheet?
There is no special Project Finance tool available.
1. Deconsolidation
The
preponderance of joint ventures and consortia undertaking project developments
makes it relatively easy to hold a partys interest to 50% or less in the SPV,
thereby enabling the project debt to be deconsolidated.
Only the investment in the SPV is booked on that partys balance sheet.
Case Example:
In the Colowyo Project
Financing in Wyoming, the project company was owned 50:50 by W R Grace and
Hanna. In addition to the Project
Finance debt not appearing on these companys balance sheets, the bank also
did not include the debt in its legal-lending limit established for both
companies.
Case Example:
Shell (50%) and Pemex (50%) established Deer Park Refining LP, as shown in
Exhibit 3. It is a variant of a
cost-corporation SPV. Recourse for the $550-million rated 144A project-note
issuers was limited by ceilings on refinery margin stabilisation ($200m) and
standby credit lines ($150m).4
Two
equal equity stakeholders can agree together to deconsolidate above or behind
the SPV or to enter into arrangements to fund each other yet keep their
interests at 50:50 (or lower percentage) to achieve deconsolidation of the debt
off each balance sheet.
Case Example: Secondary
deconsolidation was done in the £661-million Barking project in the UK.
Here Thames Power Limited (TPL) is a 51% shareholder in the
incorporated SPV, Barking Power Limited (BPL). TPLs shareholding is
split 50:50 between BICC (who owns one of the TCC companies) and CUPG (a
Canadian Utilities company which is providing management and technical
services to a 100% - owned TPL operating subsidiary Thames Power Services
Limited TPS). (see Exhibit 4). During
construction CUPG has voting control of TPL and during operations TPL has
control of BPL. But right above
TPL, its shareholders have deconsolidated their interest.
Some
developers continue to spin off portfolios of project interests to lower their
holdings (to 50% or below). These
portfolio entities are designed to stand on their own (balance sheet) full to
the brim with Project Financings with the objective of keeping that debt pool
off the parents accounts and therefore, hopefully, not affecting the parent
companys rating. This also
provides a mechanism for a developer like Enron or Edison Mission to roll out
one project after another and thereby use Project Financing as an overt
development tool.
3. Defeasance
Another
financial tool to take project debt off balance sheet
is defeasance, a cash offset. (as will
be discussed in Chapter 8, Structures)
Case Example:
Possibly the most aggressive
example of defeasance is the Transurban City Link electronic tollroad
financing in Melbourne, Australia. Two
of the seven debt facilities (totalling A$1,249 million - approx. US$825
million) are secured by cash collateral equal to the amount of the loan
which is set off against the loan liability.5
Variations
on defeasance are frequent for cross-border transactions.
The target is perennially tax structuring, not just the balance-sheet
treatment, and often is packaged with leasing.
So
although off-balance-sheet used to be de
riguer for Project Financings, it is no longer the driving force.
Non-Recourse
A
sponsor company seeks to take full advantage of the option to remove its balance
sheet at the launch of the true Project-Finance phase of the financing after
completion. This option is able to
be exercised once a cashflow demonstration test has been satisfied the
Completion Test. After
completion the same as for an existing project -- the key recourse is, as
before, to the project cashflows collateralised by its pool of assets, rights,
and interests.
Pre-completion
-- with cash outflows for construction and start-up/commissioning -- has to be the
structured and funded somehow. Inevitably
the financier requires financial support either fully to a creditworthy sponsor
or financial guarantor or to the turnkey construction contract (TCC).
Completion, as we will see in Chapter 19, Completion Risk, is buttressed
by all manner of financial props, contingent supports, warranties, bonding, and
the like.
Rarely
will the Project Financier allow the option (to non-recourse) to be granted
prior to completion. In the few
occasions when financiers have accepted Completion Risk fully, such as in
MIMs $345million Oaky Creek Project Financing in Queensland, Australia,
bankers have been stuck with forced rescheduling when output and markets failed
to generate the expected cashflows.6
One
needs to be clear about what non-recourse means.
To the Project Financier, this means that repayments originate from the
projects cashflows, and not the parent companies.
But the Project Financier does not want the parent or sponsor to withdraw
its people or entrepreneurship from the deal and will seek contractual recourse
to ensure continuation of that commitment and ownership.
Completion Test/Option
Conditions
The
option conditions embedded in the Completion Test is often the most negotiated
facet of a Project-Finance transaction.
Some project developers put up a project development case which is
more difficult to satisfy than is expected in reality.
Once the option test conditions are agreed and documented, the sponsor
unveils the real project which can then easily beat the agreed
Completion-Test performance criteria and allows the switch to non-recourse to
occur earlier.
Some other sponsors always present a higher capital expenditure
(capex) requirement and a longer development timetable, knowing full well
that they can better both parameters (with the project built under budget and
ahead of time).
Some
Project Financiers, most notably the institutional private-placement market,
prefer to avoid this gamesmanship and hassle by waiting to do the Project
Financing after completion. This
also serves to simplify the documentation.
Limited Recourse
Many
financial limitations may be agreed within a Project Financing whereby recourse
is constrained in three main ways:
1.
Time, where recourse stops after an agreed fall-out date;
2.
Amount, where recourse has a ceiling or cap in money terms; or
3.
Event, where satisfaction of some event or trigger occurs (perhaps
exceeding a financial hurdle in some way).
or
any combination of these.
Case Example: Limited-recourse architecture was built into the SmarTone
cellular telephone Project Financing in Hong Kong.
Besides the original US$90-million Project Financing -- to roll out the
cell stations and market the system -- an additional US$30 million (Amount)
was held as cash collateral which could be accessed, if needed, for up to 18
months after completion (Time) should subscriber cashflows be insufficient.
To the Project Financier, this cashflow deficiency pool had the first
two elements of limited recourse.
Case Example:
This can be contrasted to the 30-year, US$375 million Sydney Harbour
Tunnel in Australia. Here, if the
cashflows from the tunnel tolls are insufficient for debt service, then any
cashflow deficiency is made up from the New South Wales state treasury
unlimited recourse and thus , by reduction, not a Project Financing in the
first place.
Although
Project Financing moves to non-recourse post completion, three instances remain
which may spring recourse back to the original sponsor/parent.7
These are:
1.
Fraud, where information has been manipulated;
2.
Misrepresentation, where incorrect or inadequate, disclosure or
statements have been made or omitted; and
3.
Willful negligence, where any ordinary concept of diligence and
stewardship has been deliberately abandoned or worse.
Some
other recourse events are common such as the SPV owners being subject to
recourse (to their balance sheets) for increased interest withholding taxes
above an agreed threshold. These
'springing' structures will be identified in each Risk Chapter later.
ADVANTAGES
Capital
Shortage
Entrepreneurs,
small companies, and cash-starved governments can see dozens of high-leverage
Project Financings in the press as evidence of the money pot in the hands of the
Project Financiers. Other
developers seek to optimise this success by Project Financing one development,
then another.
Many
new projects exceed the capital resources of the developer(s).
Sometimes the number of projects being developed concurrently can stretch
the budget of even the biggest corporate. Mega-projects can be outside the reach
of even the largest corporations or even governments and are ready targets for
structuring a Projects-Finance deal.
Case Example:
For the Griffin transaction,
the companys net worth was approximately US$3 million.
It required US$28 million to finance a major expansion of operations to
satisfy a take-if-delivered contract to its main customer.
By way of 100%-debt deal -- lease, working capital, and local currency
-- under a Project-Finance umbrella, the requisite moneys were provided to
meet the contract delivery timetables.
Case Example:
AES is the worlds largest
global power company. It owns or
has an interest in 120 power plants with a capacity of 43,000MW (in 16
countries at last count).8 With eight plants under construction and more than 70
projects totally 35,000MW under consideration in 70 countries,9 it
seeks to finance/refinance its developments with as much Project Financing as
it can get and in the process deals with 75 banks.8
The
ability to transfer risk to the financier is at the heart of the Project-Finance
process. Companies with significant
Market Risk, cyclical operating conditions, or price challenges eagerly isolate
those risks, on the financiers behalf, into the SPV.
Even
large companies facing Political Risks change their tune to pipe in the Project
Financier as a way to get Political-Risk cover on the debt side of the project.
Roughly half of all Project Financings are to secure Political Risk
coverage.
Case Examples:
Shell arranged Project Finance for its Sarawak, Malaysia, production
with a particular desire to cover currency inconvertibility.10
Angolas military enclave, Cabinda, has seen the oil majors continue
a string of large export-finance transactions, again in part to cover the
incipient political risk over the last decade.11
Cabinda has a permanent, 9,000-strong army protection unit.
Deal
Sequestration
The
intention with most Project Financings is to create and finance a discrete
entity, the SPV, as a way to control and limit the parent/sponsors' financial
risk and exposure. The discipline
to sequester a deal in this way provides a useful negotiating framework with
suppliers, offtakers, and governments. There
is no mistaking where the buck stops or who is mitigating what risk.
For
some Project Financings, the goal may be to specifically quarantine
the project from other group activities. This can apply in both directions. The financiers may wish to protect the SPV from other
corporate activities. In this way,
a well-structured Project-Finance deal may be much more secure and bullet proof
than an amorphous group-credit transaction.
The
developer, on the other hand, may seek to ensure that in the event of project
failure, the debt does not bounce back onto its balance sheet.
Case Example:
When Freeport Minerals nickel mine was expropriated in Cuba,
Freeport stood aside from the banks who had Political Risk cover.
Freeport went on to develop the Greenvale nickel mine/plant in
Queensland, Australia, which collapsed after oil-price Operating: Cost
pressures. Again the banks (and
Germanys KfW) took the loss of $326 million and Freeport continued with its
other projects and subsequent merger, unaffected by two major Project Finance
failures in a row in the same sector.
Other
reasons a sponsor may elect to isolate a project into an SPV include:
Companies with tough labour
conditions will establish a separate entity for a new project to establish new
workplace agreements; thus they seek to shed existing labour inefficiencies.
Small companies or weak credits may have a new project which
is substantially better than themselves. The
new project or acquisition may be able to attract much more funding on better
terms and conditions than the weak sponsor.
Project supports from take-or-pay contracts, strong offtake, or
through investment/linkage to a strong consumer may be more bankable than
anything the sponsor may be able to achieve.
Ratings
Management
Some
Project Financings are established to hide the enterprise from the parent's
business activity to endeavour to protect the parent's rating.
As referenced earlier, some developers package up project bundles as a
self-sustaining project-financed SPV which can gather their own rating
(hopefully not influencing the parent company's rating).
Case Example:
Edison Mission Energy Funding Corp (S&P BBB, Moodys Baa1) raised $450
million in senior, unsecured notes for four California power plants.
Its 50% owner, Edison Mission Energy, meanwhile operates 22 US and
27 international power plants with a combined $5 billion balance sheet of
equity, bank lines, but only $200 million in rated senior-unsecured notes.
However,
mature ratings aren't easily hoodwinked and are accustomed to digging through to
subordinated and quasi-debt deals.
Securitised
Project Financings
Securitised
transactions are developing whereby project cashflows are being pooled into an
payment or lease class which is then dedicated towards debt service. The usual credit enhancement is some cash/collateral (10-15%
of the total debt) sitting beside a secure stream of receivables.
Sometimes a monetisation (securitisation of gross revenue)
is employed to enhance the solidity of payments.
Example:
The £228 million Train Finance 1 plc for British Rails is for the rolling
stock lease component for the privatised UK rail operators.12
The underlying 8-10 year leases are 80% guaranteed by Her Majestys
Government, so it is a hybrid sovereign/project deal. (See
Exhibit 3). The use of
leasing is a direct clue to the asset-driven character of a deal.
Case Example:
Calpine, a well-known deployer of Project Financing, has established a
portfolio of four merchant-power plants in four states of the USA.
The idea is to pool these diverse cashflows into a $1-billion revolver
to use to build other plants.13
This is a hybrid corporate/Project-Finance transaction adapting a
cash-sweep variation onto a monetisation.
Case Example: Large
oil companies such as Argentinas YPF or Mexicos Pemex have issued notes
repayable out of oil receivables (under a good contract).
This isnt Project Financing per
se, more a corporate transaction dealing with sales from a non-specific
portfolio of revenue generators, akin to a commercial-paper issue.14
Better
Returns
Many
regard Project Finance as a tool to achieve high gearing/leverage and long
repayment terms. Therefore, it will
automatically enhance the rate of return calculations, however calculated. In most instances the
return should be able to be doubled -- always given adequate cashflow coverage
of debt service (via the DSCR).
Many
governments like to use IRR thresholds to curb windfall/excess profits,
especially in privatisations or for granting new concession contracts. e.g.
BOT/BOO and, of course, keep the returns to the private sector at politically
acceptable/defensible levels. Thankfully,
most of these IRR regimes have not contemplated the boost from high-debt
leverage achievable in Project Financing.
Where
a company board has established an internal IRR hurdle (for all its projects),
then a smart board will realise that different projects attract different
leverage. In almost every case,
Project Finance, if viable, will boost the return above the board's hurdle rate.
Consortium
Control
Large
projects are often undertaken by a consortium of entities, such as participants
who provide:
§
land
§
technology
§
operations management
§
construction
§
financial clout
§
local connections
§
transportation
§
supply/resources
§
offtake/market
§
government/development capital
Due
to the highly structured nature of a Project Financing, a horizontal as well as
vertical discipline is naturally achieved.
Each consortium member is, in a sense, protected from, yet supported by
the other. Project Financing might
may be particularly useful where significant conflicts of interest exist with
some consortium participants.
Case Example:
In the $324 million Kutubu unincorporated joint venture (UJV) for an
oilfield development and pipeline, the non-government participants Project
Financed the Papua New Guinea Governments 22½% interest -- to be repaid from
the government's share of oil production from the project itself.
Only two, smaller, minority joint venturers (and not the projects
operator, Chevron) Project Financed their 24.2% combined UJV percentage
interest.15 The smaller companies, big oil, and the government each
gain discipline and certainty by way of the Project-Finance process.
Tailoring
In
a Project Financing, the drawdown and repayments may be linked long-term to a
particular enterprise rather than being lumped into corporate-credit facilities
which are often relatively short term and subjected to regular review.
Project bankers prefer progressive loan drawdown matched to certified
actual project expenditures; whereas the project bond market practice is usually
a one-time advance of the total amount -- although some staged drawdowns are
slowly emerging. Money on deposit
rarely earns the borrowing rate of interest -- labelled negative carry or
arbitrage; thus surplus cash is viewed as inefficient.
For
the repayment period, a project-finance structure may be specifically hard-wired
to cashflow generation. It can be
very flexible.
Case Example:
For Arcos Black Thunder project in Wyoming, USA, the $120-million
production payment was repaid from a maximum 60% of the net monthly operating
cashflow.16
Covenant
Busting
If
a company has outside constraints such as:
1.
Borrowing or balance sheet limitations imposed by other group lenders;
2.
Security restriction are in place by lenders, the World Bank (negative
pledge), bondholders, or sometimes governments; or
3.
Regulators limit its activities or returns.
then
Project Financing can be engineered to get around these fences in a manner which
does not threaten the original intent because the new enterprise is being
launched on the premise of standing alone and apart anyway.
Case Example:
EZ Industries' bankers controlled its balance sheet and legal security through
a trust deed. Anxious to
undertake a large new project, Elura, it structured a US$130-million
production payment without reference to its bankers.
The Project-Finance covenants were exactly written to fall outside the
trust deed shackles.
Case Example:
Edison Mission Energy was set up with a kitty of US$500 million by Southern
California Edison, a 100-year-old electricity utility in the USA, specifically
to become an unregulated non-utility.
It has consistently used Project Finance leverage to maximise its
development and acquisition opportunities.
It is no accident that the first entry on its web site is titled
"A Leader in Project Financing"17 having closed over 40
transactions for a total of more than US$15 billion, 11 of which were non-US$
deals.
Flexibility
A
well-structured Project Financing can be highly flexible.
Banks may be able to achieve this through automatic resetting devices
based on the project's performance or the sponsor's expansionist desires (while
still leaning on the cashflows-first principle).
Bond
structures have far fewer covenants and are thus seen as providing more
(within-covenant) flexibility than banks. But
attempts to reset or reschedule a bond structure will be met with the
easy-to-understand human gesture of throwing hands up in the air.
The management of the deal (agency/trustee) is little better than a post
office. Does one use the postal
service to get a home mortgage? The nature of the bond investor and his/her
portfolio is essentially screen-based. The
idea of handling waivers and going to bondholders meetings might mean missing a
screen flicker. So it is
essentially the banks that offer flexibility.
Case Example:
Tejo Energia's DM1.14-billion Project Financing was arranged for a partial
privatisation by the state electricity utility, Electricidade de Portugal
("EdP") under a 15-year PPA. The
12-year bank facility was specifically designed to be refinanced within six
years after startup. Two years after completion the banks extended the
transaction beyond the PPA life to year 19 and halved the loan margin to 80
basis points.18
Workouts
The
flipside to flexibility is the attitude of Project Financiers to a workout. In conventional balance-sheet lending, the task is to reshape
the entity, sell this, merge that, and sack so many. In a Project-Finance bond issue, the bondholders have great
difficulty getting together to agree anything.
Banks, however, structured a Project Finance with an eye to its future
cashflow potential anyway and always recognised that an exit by foreclosure or
sale was unlikely to be sufficient to pay off the debt.
Therefore
bankers are more likely to work to preserve the enterprise, including
recapitalising it (read: "new
loans") and re-shaping the repayment profile.
The Project-Finance legal structure allows the banks to step-in to the
shoes of the project to take the next steps to redressing the cashflow
difficulties. As a last resort the
banks will still try to bring in a new player to own, operate, and reinvigorate
the venture, rather than an outright sale.
Case Example:
When the Barrack group collapsed in Australia after failing to raise
new equity, Chase as the lead bank to the group was caught as a senior lender,
subordinated lender, and (hedging) margin lender.
However,
one struggling project was Project Financed separately.
A new manager was installed to restore the operation and, within a
year, the entity had repaid its US$15 million loan.
The rest of the Barrack group bankers wrote off more than US$100
million, in excess of half of their exposure.
Their workout process included the sale of the main cashflow generator
for the entire group for US$20 million!
Privacy
If
matters surrounding the deal are commercially sensitive, then the quarantining
of the deal and deal information inside tight confidentiality restrictions is
another reason to select Project Financing. If suitably warned, many banks can
be excellent in this area. However,
some national business cultures are 'leaky'.
A private placement document is far from private since numerous 'hands'
have viewed and inputted into the offering memorandum or placement document.
Case Example:
IAF's private client was offered two monetisation deals as laid out in Exhibit
11.5, essentially priced the same but with more money and a longer term on
offer via a US private placement vs a bank deal.
Privacy was a key reason to choose the banks since if the customer of
the client could get hold of the financial disclosure in the offer document,
it would without doubt use that against the client in the next round of price
and volume negotiations. The
underlying shifts in the monetisation base also required future flexibility on
amounts and term. The identity of
this deal? Confidential, of course.
Project
Validation
The
Project Finance process involves a high level of due diligence (Chapter 9) and
credit intensity. With the banker
taking all the risks so structured without an equity return, it is natural to
see extensive stress testing of the Downside and Breakeven Cases.
It is always raining on a banker's parade.
This
effort should be welcomed, rather than endured.
The Project Financier's (second) opinion might just be right.
Avoid:
·
The blockbuster deal "Everyone is/must be in this deal."
The result ? Eurotunnel.
·
The pioneering deal, "This deal will set the pace." Many times
it is better to be second or third. Like SmarTone (see
later).
·
The me-too deal. "We're
getting left behind. Everyone else is doing these deals".
There are so many deals without any proper FX cover done in the late
1990s in Asia, there is not sufficient space to list the examples.
·
The tombstone/market image deal. "We
must have our name on it. It's a
prestige client/deal". Need
one mention Iridium?
·
The relationship deal. Sponsor: "You must do this [tough] deal
otherwise we'll reduce your other business with us."
Bank: We must be seen as the lead/top tier to retain/build our
relationship. Project Finance is
not a relationship 'product'. The
whole idea is to set the deal loose from the relationship as soon as the
option conditions are satisfied.
Simple
Arithmetic
A
great advantage for Project Financing is its simple maths which are given in
Chapter 5. The valuation measures
such as IRR can be ignored from a structuring viewpoint.
Derivatives can be added later, after the basic structure building blocks
are in place.
Although
a project Finance spreadsheet can be pretty fancy, the deal can be structured
without regard to a balance sheet or accounting Sources & Applications.
Over-reliance on accounting ratios is one of the shortcomings experienced
in the business. (see Exhibit 3.18) The
concentration on cash is sufficient discipline for the mathematics.
Longer-Term
The
leaders in the long-term Project-Finance stakes have been bond issues which can
stretch to the 30-year-plus time zone. Bankers
are also accustomed to structuring their longest-term exposures as
Project-Finance credits.
Case Example:
Petrozuata, a Venezuelan semi-crude export-oil project burst, through the
national term for a bond issue, which was 12-years maximum, by issuing some
25-year paper. It's US$1-billion
144A bond issue was rated higher then Venezuela to boot. (read:
"pierced the sovereign ceiling")
DISADVANTAGES
Because
of the highly structured nature in many project deals the natural result of
risk allocation the complexity and often cumbersome documentation is seen as
the primary barrier.
Extra
Cost
Large
companies frown on the perceived extra cost and complexity of Project Financing,
preferring to use the collective corporate capital pool for the necessary
development monies. Some company
treasurers also fear the reverse leverage that might spring from increased
interest rates in a highly-geared structure while others fear the controls of
the classical Project Finance covenants that banks, especially, seek.
As
will be explained in Chapter 5, Project Finance margins are not priced for risk. (This will disappoint the derivatives desk.)
Instead the structure is adjusted to cover and balance the risks.
The structures are complex and the adjustments and tradeoffs are
four-dimensional.
Project
Finance pricing -- the spread or margin -- is very cheap given the risks
assumed. To use economist's jargon,
it is inefficient intermediation. The
market for a well-structured deal remains very competitive so pricing spreads
have always been low. A choice of
Project Finance will not devolve to a pricing comparison.
Case Example:
BHP selected Project Finance for its Ok Tedi development, diagrammed in
Exhibit 21.7, since the margin was lower than what it could achieve
on-balance-sheet.
Case Example: The
Petropower project was able to raise 18-year debt on a Project-Finance basis
for a Chilean project in a well-crafted structure shown in Exhibit 19.6.
At 1.7% over the equivalent US treasuries, if one knocks of 0.25% to
equate to LIBOR and take off a further 1-1.5% to 'price' Chilean political
risk, then the treasury staff can celebrate a practically free Project-Finance
deal for this cogen/refinery transaction.
Whenever
the author is asked "What is the cost of your [Project-Finance]
money?" thoughts of tonight's
dinner intervene and the meeting is mentally ended.
If the borrower can only appreciate a cut-price deal, they can go to
another barber shop for shaving. Project
Finance is inexpensive when evaluating risk, flexibility, and the other many
advantages listed above. The choice
more than not devolves to whether money can be raised at all. It is the availability of [structured] money vs not getting
the money.
Too
Long
Project
Financing is hard to execute quickly. The
various stages are outlined in Chapter 1 and nine months to one year is a handy
estimate for a deal already well prepared and presented.
The shortest is around three months where a small group of experienced
players are dealing with a wholly (pre)packaged, simple, straightforward deal
with known and trusted developers.
The
longest period for a project seen by the author was 25 years, mostly the effort
to get government onside. The Hubco
project is (in)famous for its 10-year, 3-Information Memoranda roller-coaster
ride for a large political-risk package for Pakistan.
If time is truly of the essence, then Project Finance has great
difficulty as a financing ingredient to the deal.
Lender
Control
The
Project Finance structure is designed to control the risks.
The tight packaging of Project Finance structures and documentation can
create the appearance that the bankers are running the business. Inevitably, this spills over into controls over operations;
special reporting; regular independent engineering reviews and
(re)certification; constraints on security, permission to do anything new;
regular waiver/compliance 'negotiations'; and incessant lunches with visiting
firefighters. (read:" bank syndicate
members"). Here, the
private placement and bond markets are far less restrictive.
Case Example:
In the first Kutubu US$324 million Project Finance for two minority UJV
borrowers, the author tallied the number of items covenanted -- positive,
negative, and reporting -- and the total was 287.
If the companies' treasurers felt they were working as the bank's back
office, they would have some justification.
Case
Example: For US$107 million Hero Asia
transaction, a 144A bond issue for two Chinese power-plant developments, there
are essentially three covenants:
1. No further indebtedness
2. Do not merge, consolidate, or
sell yourself.
3. Honour your contracts.
Case Example:
In the Cooljarloo integrated project development, an A$320-million
dual-currency Project Financing was structured together with a US$250-million
Euronote facility with Put Option. The documents had 30 pages of "thou shalt nots"
with 450 commandments in all.17
Faced with a 40% cashflow reduction (below projected levels at loan
signing two years earlier), the bankers had great difficulties in agreeing
anything, with the smallest banks being the greatest nuisance. (read:
"please take me out")
Needless
to say, the Company could barely move as it had incessantly to negotiate
waivers for just about everything, as well as face pressure to reprice the
deal (upwards).
Higher Insurance Costs
Insurances
are seen as a secondary structure in many aspects of Project Finance.
While expensive, it may be the only backstop available for many risks.
A comprehensive program is fully laid out and priced in Appendix 3.
A
balance between insurance costs need to be made against the amount of money
raised. All sorts of credit-enhancements can also be achieved by
insurances such as delay-in-startup (DIS) insurance, monoline wraps, and
the like.
Case Example:
A professional partnership offered a combined-cycle, three-machine power plant
package. The LDs would be
expected to be substantial, around US$500,000 per partner, and could only be
accepted within a Project-Finance deal if backed up by a substantial DIS
insurance package to backstop these LD commitments.
All parties recognised the need for DIS and negotiated accordingly.
Higher Legal Bills
As
may be evident in Exhibit 2, the lawyers/solicitors are off to the side in their
own box. They love Project Finance
since all the other 18 participants need a lawyer! It seems when looking at a stack of Project-Finance documents
that the lawyers must be paid by the word since there are so many.
A
standard structure would be hard to implement for less than US$500,000 in legal
bills, and a US$1 million bill or more is commonplace. Part of the problem is
that the bankers abdicate the drafting to the lawyers as soon as the term sheet
is signed. Since most lawyers are
untrained in risk structuring -- "That's a commercial matter" -- it is
no wonder that the deals see plenty of wall paper.
The five most terrifying words the author has experienced
are:-"Leave it to the lawyers".
Active
participation in drafting and document scope setting is actually welcomed by
smart Project Finance lawyers who enjoy the change from a word-processed,
plain-vanilla corporate deal.
Case Example: The
Project-Finance lawyer followed previous transaction styles in that most
boring of clauses, the notices clause. "Please
send by [methods] to the SPV borrower, Attention: Treasurer."
The addition of these words:- "and to another party nominated in
writing" permitted a Project Financing to proceed since non-receipt of
such notices to the bank was deemed a fatal flaw -- irremediable defaults
could creep in to topple the security structure.
Greater
Risk to Lenders
For
the lenders, the deal represents a long-term commitment with many opportunities
to go wrong and no easy way out except to book a loss/provision and run. The structure is built as robustly as possible, but when it
comes to litigation, court systems will inevitably tend to 'defend' the borrower
from the 'oppressive' lender with no one covering the interest bill during this
talkfest and interminable delays.
Project
Financiers try to bolster the structure with belts-and-braces security and
covenants as much as possible. That
doesn't prevent a slick litigation lawyer finding many delaying tactics all
courtesy of 'Central Court No.2'. The
bankruptcy costs (agency costs) can be very high in a workout as much from the
delay as from the many professional teams that may need to be mobilised --
engineers, lawyers, accountants. The
margins and payments in a project Financing are usually woefully insufficient to
fund any serious workout.
Recourse
Large
companies are fond of saying:- "Look, Project Financing is of no use to us
with its attendant controls and complexities. We have to stand behind every deal
we do, especially to honour concession agreements in 'risky' countries".
(read: "We have a continuing
business elsewhere; a tarnished reputation from abandoning a deal would
compromise our relations with governments and other financiers.")
The
operative word here is "abandoning".
From an earlier point, Project Financiers work very hard to avoid
abandonment in any workout. If a
company like Shell cannot "take a walk", then Project Finance should
not be selected.
Most
properly-structured Project Financings are genuine in their quarantining of
recourse and the stand-alone nature of the debt.
The party who seems to open more back-door recourse is government!
The seven most terrifying words for a credit committee must be:-
"The sponsor will back this deal anyway." (read: "bail-out").
Case Example:
A major Canadian company, Rio Algom, structured a US$120 million
Project Financing for a Nova-Scotia development.
Bank of America may have realised that it had a problem when it was
only able to sell down US$10 million of the deal to Rio's main Canadian
relationship banks. Several
months after startup, the project defaulted on a loan repayment.
The banks eventually had to foreclose and sell the deal--to whom? Rio
Algom, for US$70 million..
Summary
Project-Finance
packaging appeals as a means to attract high leverage; often to get the
resulting debt off balance sheet; to quarantine the project and its financing;
and as a means to instil discipline with its associated powers and protections
across the various parties in a project venture.
Advantages
are many and the disadvantages controllable or avoidable.
To succeed, the risk trade-offs need to be woven into a workable yet
flexible set of arrangements which can be structured to survive the stresses of
the future.
The
reader is invited to explore the risks in no particular order but to first
examine the cashflow mechanisms and general structures that are available,
perhaps then to investigate due diligence and finessing sector protocols.
References
1.
Fillet, M., BOT Contracts -- The Critical Ingredients of the French
Model, Project Finance International (PFI), Issue 74, June 8, 1995, pp
33-38.
2.
Sarmet, M., Credit Lyonnais -- International Project Financing,
Banque, No. 392, February 1980.
3.
Tinsley, C.R., Practical Introduction to Project Finance, Five Workbooks, Introduction and Glossary, Euromoney Self-Study
Solutions, London, 1996.
4.
Davis, H.A., "Deer Park Refining Limited Partnership," Project
Finance: Practical Case Studies, Euromoney Books, 1996, pp.155-158.
5.
Transurban City Link Annual Report 1998, Note 11, Borrowings Non-Current.
6.
Anon, Second Thoughts about Project Risks, The Banker, September
1982, pp 109-112.
7.
Tinsley, C.R., Risk Trade-Off, 2nd Mineral Economics
Symposium, CIM, Vancouver, Canada, November 21-23, 1982.
8.
AES, www.aesc.com/factsheet.html
9.
UBS Securities "The AES Corporation, Equity Research, May 15,
1997, p.28.
10. Tinsley, C.R.,
Handling Political Risk, Pacific Rim 90 Congress, Vol. III,
The AusIMM, Surfers Paradise, Queensland, Australia, May 6-12, 1990, pp
427-431.
11. Bell, J.,
UBSs Angolan Success, Euromoneys Project and Trade Finance, January
1997, p 36.
12. Train Finance
1 plc, Duff & Phelps Credit Rating Co., 1996.
13. PFI,
Calpine in Construction Deal, Issue 173, July 14, 1999, pp 33-34.
14.
IADB,YPF Structured Export Notes Private Placement,
www.iadb.org/sds/utility.cfm/151/ENGLISH/pub/47
15. Tinsley, C.R.,
Structuring Risk in Project Finance: The Case of the Kutubu Petroleum
Development, PNG, UN-ESCAP
Interregional Seminar on Applied Finance for Natural Resources, Bangkok,
Thailand, December 9, 1991, pp 163-180.
16. Casper College
Production Payment Foundation Inc., Financing Proposal Memorandum, September 1,
1977.
17. Edison
International, www.edison.com/profileexa/eme/content1.htm
18. Morrison, R.,
"New Pego loan sans covenants," PFI, 102, July 31, 1996.
19. Reynolds,
D.G., "The Tiwest Project: Living with Uncertainty," 16th
Annual AMPLA Conference, Surfers Paradise, Queensland, Australia, July 22-25,
1992. |